Some Improvement Overnight into Wednesday Before Rain Returns Again
We are actually seeing some breaks in the cloud cover north and west of the coast on the satellite picture tonight so there is hope that we may actually partially clear overnight into Wednesday morning. Our cold front is pushing southward. The rain is done. Temperatures should make there way down to upper 20s to mid 30s by morning. This break in the gloom of course is only temporary as the next storm system now coming out of the Southern Plains heads our way for Wednesday night and Thursday.
There isn’t much new regarding the next 5 days. Any morning sun gives way to increasing clouds with highs just back into the 40s. Rain develops Wednesday night. To the north of NYC it could start off as some snow or sleet briefly. Accumulating snows will be mainly north of I-90 in New York State and also in Northern New England. Rain will last here into Thursday morning as a warm front goes by and a cold front follows.
There isn’t much change for what happens afterwards. Weather conditions should start to improve Thursday afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s and then as skies clear out and winds pick up, temperatures drop to the 20s Friday morning in most places. Friday we hold in the upper 20s and lower 30s with clouds, some sun and a gusty wind. Then we hit bottom with clear skies Saturday morning with lows in the single digits inland and low to mid teens along the coast.
Saturday starts the holiday weekend with sunshine but most highs won’t be out of the 20s. Sunday brings clouds and moderating temperatures back into the 40s with a cold front passing through Sunday evening. Nothing much other than clouds are expected from this front. Monday President’s Day will be dry with some sunshine. Highs will be mainly in the 40s to perhaps near 50 in some places.
Following up on yesterday’s long range observations we look at every model run every day and the one take away that stands out is the unrelenting nature of the upper air pattern we are stuck in. The Polar Vortex is locked up over the Arctic which is driving fierce westerly winds around the northern hemisphere. Jet streams that I describe as fire hoses…these long stretches of westerly winds that run thousands of miles uninterrupted by any storms to vary the flow. The map above is 10 days from now which is pretty much the same thing we are looking at for this weekend. This takes us almost to the end of February with no hint of any kind of pattern change or even a pattern shift. If this verifies then the chances for any kind of widespread accumulating snow for the I-95 Urban Corridor dwindles down almost to zero for the rest of the month. It leaves no time for the pattern to right itself during the first few weeks of March. For snow lovers it has been grim and the outlook is looking dire for even 1 snow event for the next 4 or 5 weeks.
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