HARVEY EPIC RAINS CONTINUE, WATCHING SOUTHEAST COAST MONDAY

HARVEY EPIC RAINS CONTINUE

WATCHING SOUTHEAST COAST MONDAY

POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

The rains from Tropical Storm Harvey continue and they seem to be raging out of control in some places around and just northeast of Houston. Some places have reported 10 inches of rain in one hour! 20 inches more has fallen overnight in some areas and more is coming. This is going the make the floods of Noah seem like a drizzle if this continues and it will for much of this week. Meanwhile there are clouds off the Southeast Coast of the US that extend southwestward over Florida and from this low pressure is forecast to develop later today and it has a shot of becoming a tropical or subtropical storm on Monday. This will track north northeast up the coast with rain and wind from Georgia to Coastal Virginia later Monday into Tuesday

SATELLITE LOOP

In the meantime of the satellite loop we are under mostly clear skies here in the Northeast down to the Middle Atlantic states and we are going to see another beautiful rain free day with temperatures in the 70s and breeze from the north gradually going to more northeast with time. There are no weather issues to speak of for today.

REGIONAL RADAR

Tonight is another clear cool night with most lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Monday with the high to our northeast and more of an onshore flow I suspect some clouds will come into the mix with some sunshine and highs in the 70s.

The big question for Tuesday is how far north does the rain get from any system be it tropical or non tropical. For now it seems to me that we will certainly have clouds and rain could get as far north as Southern New Jersey with wind and rain south of there but that should be the most northern extent. Models that favor this becoming a tropical storm are also much further south and east. The NAM model brings rain up the coast all the way to Southern New England but it also has an inland low which would behave more like a typical non tropical system rather than a tropical one. We will deal with all these issues later today while we enjoy a lovely Sunday.