Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

The first of two pushes of warmer air has arrived and we are just waiting for the morning clouds that are overhead to get out of the way and we should see some breaks of sunshine on this Valentines Day Ash Wednesday with highs reaching the upper 40s and lower 50s in most places. Radars are quiet this morning. There was snow freezing drizzle overnight in some places but that is all gone now as temperatures rise. Overall not a bad day but not exactly picture perfect.

US SATELLITE

storm free

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

Tonight brings the next surge of even warmer air and there will be some showers with that overnight along with some quick heavy downpours. Then we are into the warm air for Thursday and highs should reach the 60s everywhere except along south facing shorelines with the wind off the water will keep things much cooler.

THURSDAY FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES

Valentines Day Melts Hearts 50s Thursday 60s Weekend Snow?

Thursday night into Friday morning we have rain coming through with the next cold front which then is followed by the next shot of cold air for Friday afternoon and for the weekend. That means it turns colder for Friday night and Saturday. With the fast pattern a wave will develop on that front and pass to our south and east Saturday night into Sunday morning. One of the things about this that is bothersome is the relative weakness of the system. Overnight models were a mix of robust ideas of snow to a change to rain to all snow but not a whole lot of it.

NAM MODEL FORECAST CLICK TO ANIMATE

Blog audience and facebook audience are almost all parents with families and grandparents as well. I skew older demo wise. I have shared content amp in the past that was related including health insurance options etc and they have done very well in terms of response.

Two problems that I see with this is the high that moves out to the northeast rather quickly which limits the amount of cold air especially for the coast. The other is the lack of depth in the upper air. A weak system would be colder but also weaker so how much snow are we actually talking about here? Not much if the weaker look holds. If it is a little deeper than it means high amounts but those would occur inland since the coast would probably change to rain. I’m leaning toward the idea of a weaker looking outcome here. The NAM would argue for snow at the start for most areas by Saturday evening but doesn’t quite go out far enough so we can see what happens overnight into Sunday morning which is when the bulk of this will occur. With that high to the east it is hard to imagine how it could not change to rain along the coast. We will get into this more later today. In the meantime enjoy your Wednesday.

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