Tropical Storm Gert Could Become A Hurricane Next 2 Days
Tropical Storm Gert Could Become A Hurricane Next 2 Days
The tropics are beginning to pick up in activity as we have Tropical Storm Gert midway between Florida and Bermuda this morning and you can see on the satellite loop that the outflow continues to expand this morning signalling that the storm continues to organize. Warm water temperatures and a favorable environment for strengthening suggest that Tropical Storm Gert could become a hurricane in the next day or 2 but it will no impact on land as by then it will be moving along to the northeast.
..GERT MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL
AWAY FROM LAND…
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.7N 72.2W
ABOUT 475 MI…760 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gert was
located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 72.2 West. Gert is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn
toward the north is forecast to occur later this morning, followed
by a turn toward the north-northeast by tonight. On the forecast
track, Gert is expected to pass about midway between the United
States east coast and Bermuda on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Gert
could become a hurricane by Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
Meanwhile a complex low pressure area in the Eastern Atlantic is evident on the satellite loop as well. It is very broad and pressures across the the tropical Atlantic are abnormally low. The upper air environment is conducive for development and though there is dry air evident on the water vapor loop below, the area seems to be shrinking in scope and not having any immediate impact. Weather models overnight strengthen this system over the next 5 days into a tropical storm as it tracks to the west.
With regards to the solar eclipse next Monday August 21st, here is a look at where we think the best chances are for clear skies. You can read more on this from the latest JOESTADAMUS post.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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