Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore

Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore

Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore

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Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore

Heavy Rains North Florida Northeast to North Carolina

Tropical Storm Warnings North Florida To The Carolinas

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A couple of things over the last few hours have occured. First there seems to be a small burst of convection occuring near the circulation center. The other thing is that clouds on the northern fringe of the moisture shield are over our area now. Notice the vortex in Canada at the same time is dropping southward and swinging to the east. That is the westerly jet dropping south that will eventually take Colin out to sea. I also believe that upper low will energize Colin somewhat once it moves off the South Carolina Coast Tuesday morning. The storm continues to move NNE at over 20 mph.

Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore Tampa Radar

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Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore Jacksonville Fl. Radar
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Heavy rains are continuing to spread northward to the North Carolina coast. During Tuesday the storm will move parallel to the coast and I’m expecting winds will be increasing near the center as pressures fall.  Rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches are likely in areas that just got big rains from Tropical Storm Bonnie last week!

Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore Rainfall Forecast

precip Tropical Storm Colin Moving Toward Shore

...COLIN NEARING THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 84.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Oregon Inlet North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 84.7 West. Colin is
moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h).  A northeastward
motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday.
On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to move onshore of
the Florida Big Bend area in a few hours, then move across northern
Florida and southeastern Georgia through early Tuesday morning, and
move near or over the southeastern coast of the United States
Tuesday.  However, it's important to note that the strongest winds
and heaviest rains are well removed from the center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
to the southeast of the center.  A WeatherFlow station at
Clearwater Beach Pier recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph
(65 km/h) with a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.62 inches).

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