Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

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Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

Little Change In Strength So Far

Tropical Storm Warnings For South Carolina

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT OR
SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 75.9W
ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SE OF HILTON HEAD ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

Very little has changed in the structure of Tropical Depression 2 as continues on a west northwest course toward the South Carolina coast. The system should arrive there on Sunday. It is fighting cool ocean waters off the southeast US coast though it has a chance to strengthen some as it nears the gulf stream. Wind shear conditions aloft are light and favorable for some strengthening though the outflow is not ideal. In any event this system will at worst become a minimal tropical storm before landfall.

Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina HRRR MODEL SATURDAY 1PM

hrrr15 Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

The latest HRRR model has the depression offshore Saturday afternoon and shows little change in strength. My feeling is that if it becomes a tropical storm it will do late tomorrow into Sunday morning when it crosses the gulf stream. Beyond that this is a minor event and warnings are up as a precautionary measure.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina
gfsprecip Tropical Depression 2 Continues Toward South Carolina

As for our weather and the impact here, assuming the depression moves ashore, the remnant low will either get left behind or kicked away to the east northeast. Some of that moisture could get involved with a cold front coming through here Monday morning and enhance our rainfall a bit. The gfs precip totals through Monday evening put is in the 1/2 inch to an inch range. The timing of the rain would be from the early morning hours Monday until early Monday afternoon. Weather conditions could improve Monday afternoon from west to east. We will have more on this later today.

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