summper pattern

Summer Pattern May Appear Briefly Next Weekend

Summer Pattern May Appear Briefly Next Weekend

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Summer Pattern May Appear Briefly Next Weekend

We have seen a rather cool pattern since the beginning of May with the occasional interruption for a few days with a warm weather pattern in the east. The 3 days heatwave in Mid May (in most but not all areas)  wound up boosting the May temperature average by 2 degrees for the month. If we take out those three days May would have been 3 degrees below normal instead of 1. These last 6 weeks we have seen a mix of blocking in the North Atlantic to a west to east moving jet stream with a persistent trough or dip in that jet stream in the Eastern US. It looks like one of those interruptions in the cool pattern is coming beginning later next weekend and lasting into the first few days of next week.

JET STREAM SATURDAY JUNE 10, 2017

summer pattern

The development of a very deep trough in the Western US will cause the ridge to build in the East. First though the trough along the East Coast will have to pull out. It does to some extent but part of that trough at least on the GFS model gets behind along the Middle Atlantic Coast.

SUNNER PATTERN

The existence of this cut off is important. If it is there then there could be clouds and onshore wind complications for a few days which could impact temperatures though the GFS model doesn’t show this on its temperature maps below. If the European model is right there is no cut off low off the Middle Atlantic Coast, then look for hot and increasingly humid days developing early next week.

SUMMER PATTERN MONDAY JUNE 12, 2017

summper pattern

SUMMER PATTERN TUESDAY JUNE 13, 2017

summer pattern

SUMMER PATTERN WEDNESDAY JUNE 14, 2017

summer pattern

In the meantime this week we deal with a persistent strong upper air low in the Eastern US which will keep us in unsettled weather of clouds and showers through Tuesday and at least some clouds for Wednesday and Thursday until that upper air storm pulls out.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

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