Spring Swings

Spring Swings

Spring Swings

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Spring Swings EURO MODEL TODAY’S UPPER AIR JET STREAM

euro00 Spring Swings

We are going into the weeekend with the atmosphere about as blocky as we have seen in quite awhile. You can from the European model profile of the current atmosphere see the strong blocking high sandwiched in between 2 strong vortexes. One is in Central Canada and the other is southeast of New Foundland. In between those two systems is a ridge in the east which is where we are sitting at the moment. One thing about blocks is that if it lines up just right you are either miserable for days or sunny for days and we have been in the latter for the last 10 days.

Spring Swings JET STREAM PATTERN EURO MODEL WEDNESDAY 4/27/2016

euro120 Spring Swings

Blocks don’t last very long however. At most they might influence the weather pattern for a week or two before they either break down or move into another position. In this case the Greenland block migrates northwest and westward over the North Pole. This starts to open up the log jam in the northeast next week. The issue for Monday is low pressure going by to our north which means Monday will be very warm with highs in the 70s to near 80 with some sunshine. The boundary between very warm and very cool air will set up across upstate New York and Central New England in my view. That boundary doesn’t sink southward until Tuesday when it will turn cooler.

Spring Swings GFS MONDAY FORECAST 2PM TEMPERATURES

gfs84 Spring Swings

You can see the temperature differential on Monday’s gfs 2pm temperatures. It looks like the front lies right along or just north of Interstate 90 in upstate New York and New England. 40s and 30s to the north of that and 70s and 80s to the south! You have to love spring with frontal boundary setups like this. No rain is forecast until late Monday night and Tuesday. Some showers and a thunderstorm are possible and then once the front moves by look for temperatures into the 50s and 40s during Tuesday afternoon and evening! Beyond this we will have to see whether there is opportunity for some rain later next week as weather systems start moving along from west to east in one fashion or another.

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