Severe Weather Risk Late Today Another Steam Bath Day Ahead
We saw a rather robust outbreak of thunderstorms late Sunday afternoon and evening after a day of steamy conditions. We are going to have the same conditions today with hot humid conditions. In fact today should be the hottest day of this stretch of heat and humidity. Highs today will reach 90 to 95. Between the daytime heating and another upper air disturbance moving across the East, we may have a set up for severe weather this afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center has put us at a marginal risk for severe weather from New Jersey to New England.
Other than some patchy clouds not much is happening this morning. Actually from the standpoint of clouds we are seeing fewer clouds around this morning than we have seen in past mornings. Coupled with a high launching pad 90s should be no problem.
Watching the radars this morning, much like yesterday at this time there isn’t really much going on other than some showers in upstate NY. The risk area is further east today from the last two days. Local radars will likely see a few pop ups showing up later today.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Once we get through this evening with whatever severe weather we get that it is another very warm and steamy night with lows in the upper 60s to middle 70s. Tuesday is a little bit of an odd day in that we actually have a little shot of dry air moving into New England and it could bring a little dew point relief Tuesday for a few hours at least from NYC north and east. Otherwise it is another day of sunshine with hot and mostly humid conditions with the chance for a pop up shower or thunderstorms. Most highs will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s.
Relief is coming late this week and weather models are showing a rather nice dry air mass getting in here for Friday and this coming weekend. Getting there still means we have some work to do. Wednesday brings a hot humid day with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and a risk for thunderstorms. There could be a severe weather risk on Wednesday with a cold front approaching. Another front pushes through late Thursday with a chance for thunderstorms. This will be the front that brings in the dry air on Friday. High pressure builds in nicely from the Great Lakes. The front should push far to the south into the Southeast and Gulf States so there are no stalling issues in my view. Friday through Sunday are shaping up to be very dry with low humidity, sunshine and highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. This is the second to last weekend of the summer vacation season so it could match the weekend of weather we had two weeks ago.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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