Rain Moving Northeastward Raw Rainy Tuesday
Rain Moving Northeastward Raw Rainy Tuesday
Latest satellite & radar loops are showing the next round of rain developing from Central & Southern New Jersey southward and moving northeast however if you look closely at the satellite loop you can see the turning of clouds in upstate NY. This upper air disturbance is attempting to suppress this area of rain to the south of New York City Long Island & Connecticut so there will be a bit of a battle underway through tonight. The rain shield looks to get only so far north before being pushed more east so we will basically be watching the radar for trends through the rest of the day. The risk of rain will be in the forecast overnight however the best chances will be as you head south from NYC & Long Island southward with not much happening in areas north of there.
SATELLITE LOOP
RAIN MOVING NORTHEAST REGIONAL RADAR
RAIN MOVING NORTHEAST LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
RAIN MOVING NORTHEAST LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
This leads to forecast issues for Tuesday. With the strong upper air system pretty much sitting overhead and low pressure to the southeast, we will have a damp raw onshore flow so look for occasional light rain or drizzle. The risk will be there all day long. Temperatures will in many areas not get out of the 50s.
As far as rainfall is concern most areas could wind up seeing under half an inch with heavier rains to the south across Central and South Jersey & Southeastern Pennslyvania and north of Route 84 in the Hudson Valley & Connecticut. For all the clouds and dampness, not much rain will be produced.
There is room for some optimism on Wednesday which will start out damp and dreary but there is a chance that dry air from the north could move in later in the day. The onshore flow will still be there but highs should be back into the 60s and any rain will be minimal. We pretty much have to wait for the upper air storm in the Northeast to pull away offshore for genuine improvement. That should begin on Thursday barring last minute complications. The pattern looks to flip this weekend to one that will bring some heat here beginning Sunday where some spots could hit 90 and next Monday when we should see highs in the low 90s away from the ocean.
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