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Flood Watch Flash Flood Watch New Jersey NYC HV LI CT
Light Freezing Rain Risk NW NJ, Winter Weather Advisory NE PA
Flash Flood and Flood Watches are posted this morning for a large area from New Jersey to Southern New England and everyone in between. In addition we have winter weather advisories up for Northeastern Pennsylvania for some patchy freezing rain that could extend into Northern New Jersey mainly west of 287 and north of Route 22. This is more of a cautionary note this morning into early afternoon in these areas where temperatures could stay near freezing for awhile. It might take a few hours above 32 for the ground to warm up. Then it is rain that will be front and center for tonight and particularly on Thursday and a cold front complete with the chance for a thunderstorm comes through.
Rainfall amounts on average look to be on the order of 1.25 to 1.75 inches. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we see some 2 inch plus amounts through all of this. Not much falls today other than whatever light precipitation breaks out in a few places through this afternoon. There may be a few showers north and west of the coast late today and this evening. The steadier rain moves in tonight and during the day on Thursday.
Satellite and radar loops this morning show rain, and in some places in upstate NY it is snow and/or sleet/freezing rain and that is all moving to the northeast. The local radars are showing some patchy light precipitation showing up mostly aloft.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Back to the rain for Thursday it will be heavy at times with maybe even a thunderstorm thrown in just for good measure. It should all come to an end from west to east during Thursday afternoon. Temperatures today will have a bit of a wide range. We should see 50s in South Jersey, 40s most everywhere else, and some areas from Northeast Pennsylvania to NW New Jersey and the Hudson Valley will eventually get into the 40s but probably not until after 7pm. Highs Thursday will be in the 50s
The cold front goes by and then it is back into a colder pattern for Friday through much of next week. It won’t be as extreme as what we just saw but it will still be very cold. Some sunshine and clouds come in for Friday with highs in the 30s. We head down at least into the teens and a few single digits by Saturday morning. Saturday highs will be in the 20s. The longer range shows lots of pieces running around but if they stay separate, it is hard to imagine anything of consequence happening here into early next week. Still we will keep our eye on things. With so much energy running around there is always the chance that something might try to happen at some point early next week.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.