canadian model

Canadian Model Goes Off the Wall

Canadian Model Goes Off the Wall

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Canadian Model Goes Off the Wall

We all know that the Canadian model has not been right since the Battle of Hastings however it does offer a rather interesting alternative to the other models. Actually when you look at the models closely they are very similar with regards to the storm system for early next week. All the models build a strong upper high into Eastern Canada. However the models handle the approaching strong trough differently.

WEATHER MODELS UPPER AIR FORECAST NEXT TUESDAY

Where the difference lies is in the strength of the upper air storm that the Canadian vigorously cuts off along the Carolina coast. This allows cold air from the blocking high to drain south southward from the building high to the northeast. The European does this but to a lesser extent and only at low levels where it brings the 32 degree line down to New Jersey and Southern New England while the GFS has the trough but never cuts it off. It seems the Canadian responds to the crashing NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) index which is forecasting strong blocking.

WEATHER MODELS LONG TERM INDICES

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The Canadian translates this into a coastal wet snowstorm! Again the Canadian model has not been right since the Crimean War but it does offer a rather interesting and bizarre outlook. It also attempts to do it again 3 days later. Winter weather lovers can only hope and pray at this point.

CANADIAN MODEL SURFACE CLICK TO ANIMATE

canadian model

For the latest on what other models show check out JOESTRAMUS and his long range post.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

          

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