Autumn Cool Air Starts Next Week For A Few Days
Autumn Cool Air Starts Next Week For A Few Days
The lack of autumn cool air has been driving some folks crazy and I can understand that. Autumn is the nicest time of the year in my view with dry conditions usually through September and October. Instead we have been plagued by a very warm weather pattern in the Eastern US being dominated by a strong ridge in the East while the West has seen a deep trough with colder air away from the immediate West coast eastward through the Rockies with some early season snowfall.s The ridge in the East will still be with us through the weekend but we are going to see it flatten out and break down for a few days. This should allow a nice shot of Canadian air to move in.
JET STREAM PATTERN SATURDAY OCTOBER 14 2017
The trough that is swinging out of Canada will successful weaken that ridge over the weekend. Yes the weekend will be warm especially on Sunday where depending on how much sun it could get into the 80s in some places. A cold front puts an end to that fast.
GFS JET STREAM TUESDAY AUGUST 17, 2017
Unfortunately for cool weather lovers the change is temporary. There is absolutely no blocking at all in the atmosphere which means that once this trough moves east the ridge comes flying back at the end of next week. Monday and Tuesday will see below average temperatures but then its back to above average late next week.
GFS JET STREAM FRIDAY OCTOBER 20
With regards to rain it will be minimal to non existent next week. The jet stream pattern shuts off all moisture sources until further notice. There are no signs of any blocking developing in the North Atlantic. The tropics now are winding down and about the only place I think where something could develop is in the Caribbean where pressures under this scheme will remain lower than average.
SIBERIAN SNOW COVER GROWTH
Some of you have been asking about Siberian snow cover growth as this may (or may not) be linked to the kind of winter we might have. It is only one of many keys to the winter puzzle. The theory holds that a rapid rate of snow cover growth in this part of the world is a precursor to a colder winter in the Eastern US. That theory worked well until it became well known and publicized and it has suddenly stopped working. The last two winters, the rapid growth in snow cover in October DID NOT translate to a colder winter in the Eastern US.
SIBERIAN SNOW COVER GROWTH OCTOBER 1-11 2017 CLICK TO ANIMATE
We have said many times over the last few months that JOESTRADAMUS WILL NOT BE MAKING A WINTER FORECAST..and he repeats this now. There are just too many things to look at and digest and frankly JOESTRADAMUS can’t seem to get his head around it. He leaves that for others. Right now the rate growth has been substantial and lies near the top of the range of the last several years but it is where it finishes the month that matters. Of course this assumes that the index works and the last 2 winters have called that into question.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE!
SUPPORT BREAST CANCER AWARENESS
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!