Wet Snow Mix Elevated Areas Well Inland Tuesday Night?

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Wet Snow Mix Elevated Areas Well Inland Tuesday Night?

With the return of some colder air the question is will some wet snow mix in over elevated areas well north and west of the coast (i-84 north)? Some of the short range models suggest this is possible with a borderline atmosphere. It is hard to believe that with temperatures that were close to 70 on Monday and after such a long string of warm weather that lasted almost uninterrupted for weeks, that this could happen but after looking at things closely, it is possible. It will likely depend on whether there would be enough intensity in the precipitation for this to happen. The NAM and RGEM models suggest this possibility and even the GFS has given way to this idea so I decided to mention it. Again it would be a cheap thrill at best for snow lovers but considering what the pattern has been it would be quite an accomplishment.

RGEM MODEL 10PM TUESDAY NIGHT

NAM MODEL 10PM TUESDAY NIGHT

The NAM model seem ridiculously overdone here with its snow area. The RGEM model is usually pretty good with these sorts of events so I figured why not! If it happens up your way be sure to take some picture.

On the satellite loop the cold front is through and you can see a developing area of clouds with some rain across the Tennessee & Lower Ohio Valley heading northeastward. A wave developing on the cold front is responsible for this. Look for clouds to increase on Tuesday with rain developing in the afternoon and then spreading northward into Tuesday evening.

SATELLITE LOOP

REGIONAL RADAR

Temperatures Tuesday will barely reach into the 50s and once the rain starts look for temperatures to drop into the lower 40s with 30s inland. Rainfall amounts of a quarter to a half inch seem likely before the rain moves out by daybreak Wednesday. For areas from Central New Jersey southward and Long Island, a half inch to an inch of rain seems doable. Clouds may be stubborn to leave Wednesday but eventually it will clear out. Then a polar front arrives Thursday evening with a strengthening north wind. This will usher in the coldest air of the season so far as Friday’s temperatures settle into the 30s and lower 40s and drop into the 20s by Saturday morning.