Weekend Outlook Dry Saturday Storm Moving Northward Sunday

Weekend Outlook Dry Saturday

Storm Moving Northward Sunday

Before we get into detail about what to expect for Sunday’s major storm that develops along the coast, let’s look at today and Saturday which look to be two very nice day. The cold front from two days ago is now long gone to the east as the satellite loop shows. The upper air system that creates Sunday’s mess is diving into the Western Great Lakes with a trailing cold front. In between is lots of dry air so look for sunshine all day today with highs in the low to mid 60s and another night of clear skies tonight with lows in the 40s to low 50s..30s in cold spots.

SATELLITE LOOP

REGIONAL RADAR

There will be no radar action to worry about today into Saturday afternoon. However by then a cold front will be pushing in from the west so some showers will be moving into the Western half of Pennsylvania by Saturday evening. We could see some of those showers reach us during the early morning hours on Sunday.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK MAJOR STORM EUROPEAN MODEL

The European model remains very consistent with the idea of a storm off the Southeast coast of the US moving northward with a track right along the immediate coast. Other models overnight were a little further to the east but not enough to cause major problems. I think for the most part this will be manageable with rain for Sunday, heavy at times. Given the convective nature initially amounts will vary until we get one solid shot of rain late Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. Winds will pick up with gales along the coast. It would seem to me that the strongest winds will occur probably after the low passes just to our north so once the winds shift to northwest later Sunday night into Monday morning they should be every bit of 20 to 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots+. Just offshore we could see gusts of 50 knots. Rainfall amounts will be on the order 1 to 2 inches with some local amounts to 3 possible. The European would argue for double those amounts in some areas but for now I feel comfortable with this. Rain will be long gone by Monday morning with windy conditions as the weather overall improves.