weather pattern

Weather Pattern Change Next Week On Course

Weather Pattern Change Next Week On Course

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Weather Pattern Change Next Week On Course

The last several runs of weather models all have next week’s pattern change on course and in full view. The ridge that builds in the Eastern US this week will break down early next week and we are going to be seeing wholesale changes in the upper air pattern from one coast to the other. Yesterday we highlighted the GFS model and today we look at the European model which shows the first of several systems coming into the East. The first will arrive a week from today as a cold front moves through and a wave develops on that front.

weather pattern

It has been a long time since we have seen an upper air set up like this with a lot of depth and amplitude. The West sees a radical change from weeks of a deep trough to a very strong ridge. Also a strong ridege develops out in the Atlantic along and east of 70 west. This allows the jet stream to plunge southward into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley & the East Central Gulf States. This should bring at least a general rainfall next Tuesday with cooler air to follow. Three could be complications with wave development on the front as well.

weather pattern

Another development is as we move out to the Day 10 time frame is the building of a very strong upper high into Greenland and some models are showing some high latitude blocking developing from all this. We are always skeptical of models showing this because experience has taught us that weather models have predicted 20 out of the last 2 blocking patterns in the last 2 years. Nonetheless the appearance here on the European model and other weather models leads us to believe it might be the case this time. This will at least keep things near or cooler than average for longer than a week or so as we head into November.

 

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