weather models

Weather Models On Snow For Early Next Week

Weather Models On Snow For Early Next Week

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Weather Models On Snow For Early Next Week

This remains a difficult call from the standpoint of which models have the right idea on what is going to happen Sunday night and Monday. The worst case scenario is a weak flat low that runs into the Ohio Valley and redevelops along the coast. The Canadian and European weather models depict this idea and are the most bullish for snow. This would keep cold air trapped longer even along coastal areas from New York City north and east.

weather models

weather models

The European weather model and the Canadian are almost the same. The GFS weather model which was on the same page as the others has gone a different route today as it intensifies the primary low and takes it well to the west. This was much like the European run yesterday until that model flipped last night and matched the GFS!!!

weather models

So how does this translate to snow forecast amounts on the weather models? You can see the differences below between the GFS and Canadian weather models

weather models

weather models

How this storm winds up tracking and how the primary low behaves will be the determining factor. Is the system going to be deeper as the GFS model now shows but didn’t show yesterday or last night, or are the European and Canadian model more correct with a weaker feature coming out from the west. In the meantime here is my early call in case you missed it. It actually matches up better with the late afternoon GFS model run then the more robust Canadian.

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