Weather Models Severe Weather Threat
Weather Models Severe Weather Threat
No Issues Saturday
Heavy Rain Severe Thunderstorms Possible Sunday
Looking at the satellite loop this evening we can see dying clouds and showers over us now as a cold front moves through and weakens. Nothing more than a few sprinkles should be around this evening and then it is leftover clouds for the overnight into Saturday morning with temperatures in the 60s. Meanwhile in the Middle Mississippi Valley we have a long stream of tropical moisture with showers and thunderstorms. We can also see a twisting motion in the Northern Plains which is with a strong upper air disturbance that is dropping southeastward. The table is being set for a round of heavy rain and severe weather for Sunday. But at least Saturday looks good with a mix of sun and clouds and highs in the mid 70s coast to middle 80s inland.
Weather Models Severe Weather Threat Satellite Loops
You can see on the radar how minimal the activity is tonight. Anything that pops up on Saturday should be isolated in nature.
Sunday is a different story as the warm sector sets up along the Middle Atlantic Coast northeastward to Southern New England. The upper air is strongly suggesting severe weather with the greatest risk probably from Eastern Virginia northeastward into Southern New Jersey where the Storm Prediction Center is calling for the possibility of some super cell formation. The upper air map below shows a strong jet stream streak inside the blue circle which would be a severe weather indicator. The biggest question is how the warm sector sets up. This will drive the severe weather threat for Long Island and Connecticut which often times can be out of the prime formation area.
Weather Models Severe Weather Threat
UPPER AIR SUNDAY EVENING
This would be for later in the day Sunday into Sunday night. Before that there will be a round of rain late Saturday night into Sunday morning that could produce some locally heavy rains in some areas. There should be a short break in between the first shot of rain and the late day and evening thunderstorms.
Weather conditions should improve on Monday with a mix of sun and clouds, a gusty wind and temperatures reaching into the 80s.
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