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Weather Models Monday Clipper System

Weather Models Monday Clipper System

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Weather Models Monday Clipper System

We have been watching the possibility of a clipper system coming down from the Northern Great Lakes and redeveloping off the Delmarva Peninsula on Monday. Hints began yesterday on the models and the NAM model is the first to pick up on this on this morning’s run.

WEATHER MODELS NAM MODEL SUNDAY EVENING UPPER AIR

rain moving eastThe biggest issue regarding this look is the question of room. Earlier model runs had too much energy spread out over the Great Lakes and northeast leaving little room for anything to happen. Now models open up some room as the lead system in the Northeast on Sunday moves out faster and weaker which allows room for the next diving system to start carving a trough out deeper and further west.

WEATHER MODELS GFS UPPER AIR SUNDAY EVENING

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WEATHER MODELS GFS SURFACE SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING

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weather modelsThe surface map shows a dying low in the Eastern Great Lakes and a secondary low forming east of the Delmarva Peninsula. The GFS model has enough development that it would produce a coating to a few inches of snow from Northeastern Virginia to Southern New England.

WEATHER MODELS GFS SNOW FORECAST MONDAY INTO TUESDAY

weatherThere are two important variables here. The first is that the lead system moving through the Northeast Sunday is indeed weaker and faster. Secondly there is another clipper behind this one that the European model and the Canadian model do something with Tuesday night and Wednesday. This would probably need to be a little weaker and a little slower which would give the Monday system room to play with. We are at the beginning of the looking stage here so let’s see where models go from here.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

          

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