weather models long range

Weather Models Long Range Blocking Issues

Weather Models Long Range Blocking Issues

trademark

 

Weather Models Long Range Blocking Issues

As we have over the last week or longer, weather models have and continue to have a difficult time dealing with the developing North Atlantic blocking. To review, a block is higher than normal pressures or in this case  strong high pressure aloft in the North Atlantic region which displaces the jet stream far to the south of its normal position. It also impacts the normal west to east flow of air masses and locks the Eastern US at least in an valley of below average temperatures and at time much below average temperatures. Weather models long range have been going back and forth and at times in opposite directions regarding the position and strength of the block which has led to all sorts of bizarre solutions regarding the weather going forward. What we are sure of is that next week it will be dry and except for Tuesday which will be mild, most days will be below average for this time of year. It won’t be anything crazy below average at least through Friday.

WEATHER MODELS LONG RANGE BLOCKING GFS SATURDAY 11/25/2017

weather models long range

WEATHER MODELS LONG RANGE BLOCKING EUROPEAN SATURDAY 11/25/2017

weather models long range

I am getting a bit more interested in what the models are putting out for next weekend. Both models show a strong blocking high over Greenland. Both models show the block the same way which is the first time in the last week that models even remotely matched up. This increases the confidence level somewhat. It also raises the risk of some sort of storm development to affect the Northeast US. The European model is the most dynamic of the 2 developing a storm off the coast of Southern New England.

EUROPEAN MODEL LONG RANGE THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NOVEMBER 23-26 2017

CLICK TO ANIMATE

weather models long range

The GFS times everything out differently by keeping all the elements separate. One big difference is the timing a system in the northeast Gulf of Mexico which the European gets this system involved in the development while the GFS times that out differently by shooting it out to the northeast faster and keeps the pieces separate. In either case if there is no storm development it does mean below average temperatures and even much below average temperatures beginning next Wednesday and lasting right into the first days of December.

WINTER CLOTHES MAY COME IN HANDY

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE!

 


          

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!