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Weak System Spoils Sunday Next Week Unsettled
The upper trough that brought clouds to parts of the area around midday is now pulling out which allowed skies to clear out in most places though clouds still linger in parts of the Hudson Valley and Southern New England. Skies will clear for a short time before clouds out to the west move in. This is the system that brought a late season snow to Chicago, Milwaukee, and other parts of the lower Great Lakes. Look for clouds to move in and thicken up by morning with morning lows in the 40s.
SATELLITE
REGIONAL RADAR
Nothing much is going on regarding the local radars but we can see rain moving into Western Pennsylvania and West Virginia as low pressure moves eastward. We remain in a quandary for Sunday regarding temperatures because the track of the surface low splits our area in half. The low is forecast to track over Southern New Jersey or just south of there. Anyone north of the low track will see temperatures struggling in the 40s to lower 50s. South of the low it will reach into the 60s. A little north or a little south will make a difference.
Across Northern New Jersey to NYC Long Island, the Hudson Valley & Southern New England rain is likely from mid morning Sunday to mid afternoon. Rainfall amounts decrease as you go south and won’t amount to much south of Route 195 which cuts New Jersey in half from east to west. Amounts from NYC northward could be on the order of a 1/4 to 1/2 inch.
Temperatures on Sunday are tricky. Forecast highs could occur before rain begins and then once it starts raining temperatures will drop and hold in the 40s. Areas to the south in the 60s to near 70 from South Jersey southward assume that the low passes just to the north of this area. The track will make a difference.
Weather conditions improve from west to east late Sunday afternoon and skies clear out Sunday night. Monday should be a nice day with sunshine though there will be arriving clouds with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Low pressure and a warm front approach for Monday night into Tuesday with an onshore flow and the chance for showers. Next week we will be dealing with a frontal boundary to our south that will be buckling back and forth.
We address the weather for next week in our JOESTRADAMUS long range post.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.