warmer pattern

Warmer Pattern Developing Later This Week

Warmer Pattern Developing Later This Week

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Warmer Pattern Developing Later This Week

With the first half of the week being a wipe out with rain and an onshore wind keeping things in the world of gloom, we do see a change in the upper air pattern that will dry it out and warm things up for the second half of the week and into next weekend. The first half we have a storm off the Southeast coast moving northward up the coast however the upper air feature with this system actually weakens as it moves northward.

GFS FORECAST TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY

warmer pattern

The weakening upper air feature causes the suface low to weaken as it moves northward. The heaviest rains stays to the south though we do get a nice 36 hour soaking of up to an inch or so of rain. The feature weakens because a strong upper ridge begins to build along the east coast. Just the return of sunshine and any wind other than one off the ocean means temperatures rise through the 60s to near 70 on Wednesday. I suspect we will see 70s Thursday through the weekend. There are a couple of complications. One is whether an onshore flow sets up at some point. Right now I would lean against that. The other is whether we have any clouds and showers to deal with.

WARMER PATTERN NEXT SATURDAY’S FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES

warmer pattern

A weakening cold front will come through Thursday night with a few showers at most. The air behind the front will probably be as warm as the air ahead of it. We will be close to that frontal boundary on Friday and then it backs northward Friday night into Saturday with some showers ahead of it. After that it should be warm for next weekend with the next cold front not due until Sunday night with some showers. That seems to be the plan going forward at the moment. The map above is the GFS model forecast highs for next Saturday with 70s and 80s. Let’s see how the warmer pattern holds up.

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