Tropical Storm Warnings Carolinas

Here is the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center

…AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THE DISTURBANCE POORLY
ORGANIZED…
…CHANCES TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ARE DIMINISHING…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…32.2N 79.9W
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 185 MI…295 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North of Surf City to Duck
* Albemarle Sound
* Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Surf City to South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within
within the next 12 to 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to
24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the area of minimum pressure associated
with the disturbance was estimated near latitude 32.2 North,
longitude 79.9 West. The system is moving toward the northeast near
12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual increase in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the
forecast track, the system will move over or near the coast of South
Carolina tonight and move along the North Carolina Outer Banks on
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
These winds are over water well to the east of the area of
minimum pressure. Although the disturbance has not become any
better organized today, there is still potential for the system
to become a tropical storm during the next 24 hours. After that
time, the low should begin to intensify as an extratropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 85 miles (140 km)
to the east of the area of minimum pressure.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HERE IS THE LATEST OUTLOOK ON TROPICAL STORM HARVEY

HERE IS THE LATEST FORECAST FOR NEW YORK NEW JERSEY LONG ISLAND CONNECTICUT HUDSON VALLEY

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

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Tropical Storm Warnings Carolinas