Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

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Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

Tropical Depression Forms Southern Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Conditions Florida Monday

90% Chance Of Tropical Storm Development

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Above is the latest satellite loop of the disturbed weather in the Northwest Caribbean Sea. If you look carefully as the dayside visible images appear, a low level center appears to have formed off the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Based on satellite the National Hurricane Center has issued its first advisory on Tropical Depression #3.

Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 88.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NW OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 550 MI...880 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf coast of
Florida from Indian Pass to Englewood.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests along the coast of northeastern Florida through southern
South Carolina should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 88.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A
north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected
later today through Monday. On this track, the center of the
depression is forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend
area Monday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to
become a tropical storm before reaching the coast of Florida.

 

All model guidance seems to point to the northwest coast of Florida as the target between Tampa and Panama City. The NAM model is the furthest west with its course while the GFS and Euro Models overnight were further east which makes more sense.

Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

COLIN Tropical Storm Warning West Florida

We would expect that the tropical depression will become a tropical storm later today or tonight as it moves northward and away from the land mass of the Yucatan Peninsula.

LATEST VIDEO ANALYSIS ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TROPICAL STORM THREAT FOR FLORIDA

 

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