Tropical Storm Outlook Next 5 Days
Tropical Storm Outlook Next 5 Days
No Tropical Storms Through The Weekend
2 Systems Being Watched
Looking around the tropics we see two tropical waves that call attention. Both are not going to develop anytime soon and the one in the Eastern Atlantic probably has the better chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm later next week. Satellite shows the two waves. The on that is east northeast of the Leeward Islands is likely to move west northwest. Conditions do not appear favorable for rapid development so we will watch it as it gets north of the islands. None of the global models do much with this system.
The second wave stands a better chance as all the models seem to spin this up to some degree though the European keeps it weak on this particular run. Even if something were to develop from this the upper air pattern across the Atlantic suggests it would be an ocean storm and follow a path similar to Gaston a few weeks ago.
The European model today shows what it has been showing for awhile and that is a weakness develops in the Atlantic ridge around or just east of 60 degrees west. This opens an alley way for any Eastern Atlantic storm to make a quick exit. On the other hand that trough eventually does lift out and the ridge rebuilds. If this system stays weak and responds more to the low level flow, there is always the chance it could bypass this weakness and get further west. All of this is purely speculative at this point. At least we have no tropical storms around as we go into the next to last weekend of summer.
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