Tropical Storm Franklin Moving West Hurricane Watch SE Mexico Coast
Tropical Storm Franklin Moving West
Hurricane Watch SE Mexico Coast
Latest satellite loops show that the well defined core of Tropical Storm Franklin remains fairly impressive as it begins to move offshore. The satellite signature and the fact that water temperatures in the SW Gulf of Mexico are close to 90 degrees in spots, should allow Frankly to gain strength rather quickly. The question is whether there is time for this system to reach hurricane strength. There are also issues regarding northerly shear and some dry air coming into play as it nears the Southeast coast of Mexico. With systems like this the intensification forecast is very difficult so we will will just have to watch and see what happens. They can surprise in both directions in this area of the Gulf of Mexico.
…FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SOON…
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.2N 90.3W
ABOUT 25 MI…40 KM NNE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* The coast of Mexico from Rio Lagartos to Sabancuy
* The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* The coast of Mexico from Sabancuy to Puerto de Veracruz
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 90.3 West. Franklin is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A mainly
westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the
forecast track, the center of Franklin will move into the Bay of
Campeche in a few hours, move westward across the Bay of Campeche
tonight and Wednesday, and be near the coast of mainland Mexico
Wednesday night or early Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
A strengthening trend is likely to begin when the center moves
over water, and Franklin could be near hurricane intensity at
landfall in the southwest Gulf coast of Mexico.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
Steering winds favor a westerly track and there is no threat to the United States from this system. Once inland the remnants would move across Mexico and probably exit on the Pacific side where regeneration into a Pacific tropical cyclone is possible.
Weather App
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!
MENTION JOE CIOFFI AND GET A 5% DISCOUNT