Tropical Storm Fiona Hanging On
TROPICAL STORM FIONA HANGING TOUGH
TWO OTHER TROPICAL WAVES MOVING WEST
Tropical Storm Fiona has been hanging on quite well over the last couple of days despite the very strong shear that is clearly evident. You can see the cloud tops getting blown away to the east however you can also see a new burst of convection firing up around midday so the tropical storms continues to live on as it tracks in what appears to be a west northwest direction.
...FIONA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 53.3W ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 53.3 West. Fiona is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Fiona could weaken to a tropical depression later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Fiona is still forecast to weaken into a remnant low over the next few days which is in agreement with some (but not all models) as the Canadian model wants to spin this back up once it gets west of 60 west. However it should be noted that the Canadian likes to pretty much spin up everything.
TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST
We also see a strong tropical wave off the African coast and this system on the satellite loop above looks well defined. The National Hurricane Center has raised the probablity of a depression forming to 70 percent in the next 2 days and 90 percent in the next 5. With regards to the other tropical wave in the Central Atlantic it is still there moving westward southeast of Fiona. There is a lot of dry air at mid levels which is preventing this from developing further. Condtions are forecast to be more favorable further west so we will see what it does when it gets there.
With regards to impact longer term we will discuss this in a new video later this afternoon.
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!