Tropical Storm Development Possible Threat Southern Leewards?
Tropical Storm Development Possible
Threat Southern Leewards?
We are seeing a lot of activity in the tropics at the moment both on the Atlantic & Pacific side. It appears that another tropical storm could develop over the weekend. Before we get to that however lets look at Tropical Storm Jose which on the satellite loop looks like it is trying to organize again. It appears that it should strengthen back into a hurricane on Friday. Jose is moving to the west and soon it will be west of 70 degrees west. Eyes will be watching to see how far west it gets before beginning its northward turn.
TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
A THREAT TO THE SOUTHERN LEEWARDS EARLY NEXT WEEK
The wide satellite view shows a tropical wave in the southeast corner of the loop. The wave right now is not well organized but conditions to the west of the wave are conducive for development and we could see a tropical depression or tropical storm develop east of the Southern Leewards over the weekend. The upper and lower level flow would favor a westward course.
There were not many hurricane model tracks available tonight however the few models that were showed this system developing rather quickly with the GFS model ensembles taking a general track to the west northwest and toward the Leeward Islands. If this materializes this will be the 3 tropical storm or hurricane to threaten the Leewards in less than two weeks time which is a horror considering the utter destruction of Hurricane Irma to this area and the near miss by Jose as it approached as an almost category 5.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
There is another strong system off the African coast that looks very well organized and it appears that a tropical depression or even a tropical storm could be forming here as it heads to the west. A tropical cyclone could form at anytime as it continues westward. Conditions are conducive for developing over the next few days. Afterwards some shear issues could develop but that is speculative at this point. We will post the latest information from the National Hurricane Center should advisories be initiated.
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