Tropical Storm Development Possible Threat Southern Leewards?
Tropical Storm Development Possible
Threat Southern Leewards?
We are seeing a lot of activity in the tropics at the moment both on the Atlantic & Pacific side. It appears that another tropical storm could develop over the weekend. Before we get to that however lets look at Tropical Storm Jose which on the satellite loop looks like it is trying to organize again. It appears that it should strengthen back into a hurricane on Friday. Jose is moving to the west and soon it will be west of 70 degrees west. Eyes will be watching to see how far west it gets before beginning its northward turn.
TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
A THREAT TO THE SOUTHERN LEEWARDS EARLY NEXT WEEK
The wide satellite view shows a tropical wave in the southeast corner of the loop. The wave right now is not well organized but conditions to the west of the wave are conducive for development and we could see a tropical depression or tropical storm develop east of the Southern Leewards over the weekend. The upper and lower level flow would favor a westward course.
There were not many hurricane model tracks available tonight however the few models that were showed this system developing rather quickly with the GFS model ensembles taking a general track to the west northwest and toward the Leeward Islands. If this materializes this will be the 3 tropical storm or hurricane to threaten the Leewards in less than two weeks time which is a horror considering the utter destruction of Hurricane Irma to this area and the near miss by Jose as it approached as an almost category 5.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
There is another strong system off the African coast that looks very well organized and it appears that a tropical depression or even a tropical storm could be forming here as it heads to the west. A tropical cyclone could form at anytime as it continues westward. Conditions are conducive for developing over the next few days. Afterwards some shear issues could develop but that is speculative at this point. We will post the latest information from the National Hurricane Center should advisories be initiated.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!