Thunderstorms Well Inland Tonight Severe Weather Risk Wednesday
We are seeing a few thunderstorms in a cluster this evening moving across South Central Pennsylvania and Western Maryland this evening. We don’t expect this area to survive after sunset and we will be left with another warm and humid night with just the risk of a passing morning downpour. Temperatures overnight will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s except the warmer urban centers which will be a few degrees higher.
The regional radar shows that cluster of storms and they are coming into range of the Fort Dix radar below though not quite in the range of the Upton radar. Early tomorrow morning around daybreak we might see a couple of scattered downpours on the local radars and then we wait for a cold front to approach late in the afternoon and evening.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Get ready for another hot and humid day Wednesday with sunshine taking highs into the 90s for the 5th day in a row. Dew points will be reaching into the 70s. There will be substantial daytime heating in an unstable atmosphere and the Storm Prediction Center has upped the ante and has expanded the risk area for severe thunderstorms.
All of the weather models both the small scale models and the large scale models are bullish on a the idea of a line of severe thunderstorms developing late in the afternoon and evening on Wednesday and impacting a rather large area from Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England. We are using the HRRR model which has the best idea of how this plays out though the other models all are similar.
There is a second front on the way for Thursday which will be another very warm to hot day and a very humid day again with dew points into the 70s. This could set us up for more thunderstorm late in the day Thursday into Thursday night.
Assuming everything moves along we should finally get a break from the 90s starting Friday and also an easing of the humidity going into the weekend. Highs at least will be back in the 80s and the humidity will be a bit more reasonable. We should see sunshine both weekend days with no thunderstorms in the forecast.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.