Tropical Depression 7 Forms In The Tropical Atlantic
Forecast To Become A Tropical Storm Wednesday
Satellite pictures and loops this afternoon confirm that the small area of disturbed weather in the Tropical Atlantic has developed a closed circulation and has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 7. The depression this evening looks well organized and conditions are favorable for the depression to become a tropical storm overnight or on Wednesday. The system is actually rather small spannig just a couple of hundred miles across from south to north. It seems to be embedded in an area of light winds aloft which should be conducive for strengthening at least for the next couple of days.
Upper air steering winds should carry this system mainly to the west northwest or westerly over time which means it will reach the Southern Leewards or Northern Windward Islands early Saturday. What reaches there in terms of strength remains to be seen.
Upper air winds in the Eastern Caribbean and over the Islands are forecast to strengthen somewhat late this week and that could create a rather hostile environment for this system. This is typical of storms that reach the Eastern Caribbean where conditions are normally unfavorable for tropical storms. Of course we will monitor this as it heads to the west through the rest of the week.
We also want to take note of disturbed weather in the Florida Straits. We see disorganized showers and thunderstorm there. This area is heading west northwest into the Gulf of Mexico and conditions will become more favorable for development over the next 2 or 3 days. Eventually this will head into the Northwest Gulf of Mexico late week and this weekend so it will be monitored for signs of development.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.