summer

Summer Hanging Tough Jose Meandering Southwest Atlantic

Summer Hanging Tough Jose Meandering Southwest Atlantic

 

Summer Hanging Tough

Jose Meandering Southwest Atlantic

The satellite lop signature this evening looks like it did this morning with everything slowing down to a crawl. We have a strong non tropical storm sitting to the east of Nova Scotia. The remnant low of Irma is swirling in the lower MississippI Valley producing some rain there and over parts of the Ohio Valley and Middle Atlantic States. In between we have minimal Hurricane Jose whose strength has been cut in half from a few days ago when winds were 150 mph; now down to 75 mph and barely holding on as a hurricane. Our area is still in a bit of a sweet spot as we saw a fair amount of sunshine today though it was masked by some high cloudiness from Irma’s broad circulation. There will be no weather issues tonight other than a few high clouds with temperatures in the 50s inland and lower 60s in the normally warmer urban locations and along the coast.

SATELLITE LOOP

storm free

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

Local radars are quiet and even on the regional radar the showers and rain to south in Virginia and Western North Carolina have diminished. Wednesday looks warm and a bit more humid with some sunshine and clouds and highs reaching 80 to 85 inland areas with cooler 70s near the coast with an ocean wind.

GFS RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH 8PM FRIDAY

GFS RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

Thursday and Friday the remnants of Irma will move northeastward and a cold front will slowly approach giving us the threat for some scattered showers and some rumbles of thunder. Sometimes rains from remnant hurricanes can be substantial. This is not one of those times as the rainfall amounts here don’t look threatening at all. Once this system plays through the weekend looks good with sunshine for both Saturday and Sunday with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Sunday could see a lowering of humidity.

HURRICANE JOSE STILL LURKING ABOUT

MEANDERING BETWEEN BAHAMAS & BERMUDA

Nothing of consequence has changed with regards to Jose as it is drifting eastward. It will soon do a loop and turn back west northwestward over the next few days. Weather models continue to trend offshore with Jose in the long term but JOESTRADAMUS will address this later this evening.

…JOSE CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH…

 

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…27.6N 67.4W
ABOUT 480 MI…775 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 640 MI…1030 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…E OR 100 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…987 MB…29.15 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 67.4 West. Jose is moving
toward the east near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn to the southeast
and south at a slow forward speed is expected over the next couple
of days. On the forecast track, the center of Jose will remain well
to the east-northeast of the Bahamas through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None

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