WEATHER IN 5, 5 DAYS IN 5 MINUTES SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TODAY
Steamy Saturday Weather Hot Humid Severe Thunderstorms Possible
Real uncomfortable conditions have finally arrived today. Humidity levels are high as they are going to be in the upper 60s to lower 70s and high temperatures this afternoon will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. All this sets us up for a cold front dropping southward from Eastern Canada and upstate New York. This means we are going to see thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening with most storms occurring between 4 and 9pm.
The Storm Prediction Center has kept its forecast risk area pretty much the same from yesterday with some minor changes on the northern and southern boundaries. Clouds on the satellite lie across New England west to Lake Huron and it is from this area that the cold front emerges and moves southward. From Central New Jersey southward we have wide open skies that extend into Virginia and here is where we will see the maximum daytime heating. Highs here should reach 90 to 95.
Much of the shower and thunderstorm activity on the regional radars are upstate and in New England and nothing organized is on the radar screens and won’t be until later this afternoon. Go ahead with all outdoor activities until then and keep an eye to the sky for thunderstorm development late today.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
This is the first of two cold fronts that will be moving through this weekend. The first front will go by this evening and skies will partially clear behind it and the humidity will drop off slightly. Lows tonight will be in the 60s to near 70. Sunday brings a second cold front but it won’t have the tropical air to work on That front passes through during the early afternoon and basically takes us from a slightly drier air mass to a much drier air mass later Sunday into Monday. We see a mix of sun and clouds on Sunday from NYC and the the Hudson Valley eastward while areas west of NYC in New Jersey and Pennsylvania will likely see more sun and fewer clouds with highs in the upper 70s north to mid 80s south.
There could be a few brief showers with the second front but they should be mostly to the east in Southern New England and they should be scattered in nature. The shot of dry air leads to a nice clear night Sunday night with low humidity and lows in the 50s in many areas to lower 60s in the warmer urban centers. Monday will be mostly sunny with low humidity and highs mostly in a range of 80 to 85.
Another front arrives Monday night with a shower or thunderstorm in the early morning hours followed by warm but dry air for Tuesday that could linger into early Wednesday. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 80s. The rest of next week (Wednesday, Thursday Friday) will see very warm to humid conditions with the risk for widely scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening (mostly inland) and widely scattered means that most of you won’t see them. Highs each day will be in the 80s with hot spots approaching 90. Nighttime lows will be in the 60s inland and lower 70s in warmer urban settings. It should be a good week all the way around. It will be summery but not excessively hot or humid much of the time with shower and thunderstorm threats kept to a minimum.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.