Steam Bath Next 3 Days Severe Weather Risks Thursday Friday Saturday
Our beautiful day of low humidity and sunshine is coming to an end. High clouds are already streaming northeastward as we being the transition back into a steam bath air mass for the next three days. This is going to put us at risk for showers and thunderstorms and some severe weather especially tomorrow where the upper air dynamics look impressive enough. For now though we have a nice evening but it will turn more humid overnight with some clouds. Lows will be in the 60s to near 70 in some places. There could be some showers or a downpour in the transition Thursday morning mainly from Northeast Pennsylvania east to Northern New Jersey and Long Island and points north and east. These won’t last too long.
Let us look first at tomorrow where we will see temperatures reach up into the 90s in many places and dew points will soar into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Let’s throw in an approaching front and short wave trough and we will see showers and thunderstorms. It is always tricky when it comes to severe weather risk. You have days like yesterday that looked ripe for severe weather but wound up being a little underwhelming..
I would put my bets on the strongest storms in the Hudson Valley and Southern New England with fewer storms south of there. Nonetheless the risk is there that any of those cells could be severe and the atmosphere suggests that there is the risk of a few spin ups (tornadoes) out of any of these storms.
Friday the frontal boundary lies right over us so we will be in another steamy day in New Jersey as well as Southeastern Pennsylvania south into Maryland and Virginia where we have a marginal risk of severe weather. North and east of NYC and into Southern New England it won’t be as warm nor will it be quite as steamy as areas to the south. There will be some sunshine so daytime heating will determine the extent of severe weather.
Saturday brings a frontal system with low pressure moving across the Great Lakes and Upstate NY. We will likely have the remnant low of Hurricane Laura moving across the Lower Ohio Valley and then exiting off the Delaware/New Jersey coast. It is hard to say how much impact this will have with respect to enhancing rain and thunderstorm activity. We will visit that idea tomorrow and Friday. However we will see showers and thunderstorms and some of those could be severe. Highs will be in the steamy 80s to near 90. Once the front passes we will dry out and have 2 nice days ( Sunday and Monday) of sunshine, low humidity, Highs Sunday will be in the upper 70s to a few lower 80s and highs Monday will be mostly in the 70s!
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.