Showers Possible Thunderstorm Later Today Tonight
Only Slow Improvement Friday Through Sunday
Showers Possible Thunderstorm Later Today Tonight
Only Slow Improvement Friday Through Sunday
We kicked out yesterday’s storm system and now comes a slow moving cold front. Clouds remain up and down the East Coast and there are showers and some heavier downpours showing up on the radar well inland in Pennsylvania and Upstate NY. As the day wears on those showers will move east and into the area this afternoon and for the first part of tonight. A wave developing on the front will move northward and that will create a cluster of heavier downpours and perhaps a thunderstorm or two this evening and for the first part of tonight.
SATELLITE
WEATHER RADAR
There is still a bit of an onshore flow and with lots of clouds, hardly any sunshine, and the risk for showers, will keep temperatures mostly in the 50s to near 60 degrees. As far as rainfall is concerned, we are looking at heavier amounts inland verses the coast. An inch or more is likely inland from Western New Jersey westward while to the east rainfall amounts will be in a range of a half to three quarters of an inch.
As far as severe weather is concerned, the Storm Prediction Center has left our area out of the risk zone at least for now. We do not have a warm sector setting up over us and also we have a lack of daytime heating so the atmosphere is going to be unstable later today, it probably won’t be enough to create severe weather issues. Rain will end overnight with leftover clouds afterwards. Morning lows will be in the 40s to near 50.
Friday and Saturday the issue will be a very strong upper air storm now over the Great Lakes that is crawling eastward. It will not be out of the way until Sunday. In the meantime we are left with a cold unstable atmosphere aloft. While we might see some start to start both days, clouds will develop. We will throw in the chance for some scattered sprinkles or showers Friday and Saturday. The chances aren’t high but they will be relatively higher inland verses the coast. If you get one it should not last long.
Friday highs will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s. It will be a little cooler on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Sunday we should see more sun and fewer clouds with highs in the low to mid 50s. Once the upper trough pulls out we will look ahead to a ridge building in the Eastern US for the first half of next week.
The ridge in the East should allow warmer air to build into the Eastern US beginning Tuesday and lasting through at least Thursday or possibly Friday. What needs to be watched is whether a back door cold front moves south from Upstate NY and New England and limits the progression of warmer air northward. It would seem if we look at the European model that a backdoor could impact temperatures in New England but it will have little impact in areas from Southern Pennsylvania and Southern New Jersey southward. So it is the area in between that we will watch for temperature impacts thanks to an ocean based wind. It does seem that the impact may only be for a day or so, perhaps late Tuesday or Wednesday. Otherwise 70s are likely and 80s are also possible. We will wait to see how models settle out this issue in the coming days.
BE SURE TO DOWNLOAD THE FREE METEOROLOGIST JOE CIOFFI WEATHER APP &
ANGRY BEN’S FREE WEATHER APP “THE ANGRY WEATHERMAN!
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.
