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RECORD COLD BLACK FRIDAY
COLD AIR PULLS OUT RAPIDLY
RAIN ARRIVE LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON
I took screenshots of temperatures this morning and this was a very cold morning indeed though there is hardly any wind which makes it feel a bit better. Record lows for stations that don’t go back to 1901 were shattered this morning across the NY NJ CT area. In addition we had a number of stations that set records last night for Thanksgiving day by making their lows before midnight. The core of the cold air mass begins to pull out today and since the average temperature this time of year as in the upper 40s and lower 50s expect to snap back sharply over the weekend.
The coldest temperatures this morning were in Upstate NY & Interior Northern New England where we saw temperatures drop to below zero! It is amazing to see this during this time of year. Imagine temperatures 25 degrees or more below average in January and you can get a feel for just how unusual and how extreme this is.
Satellite and radars this morning are quiet. We have clear skies over us for now but there are some clouds to the west. Warmer air will be arriving rather quickly tonight into Saturday. After we reach our highs today which will be in the upper 20s and lower 30s, temperatures will likely hold or even rise overnight as a warm front approaches. We will have sunshine for most of the day with just some patchy high clouds moving through.
Saturday clouds will thicken up and rain will be overspreading Southeastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England during Saturday afternoon and evening from west to east. With all this cold air around you would think we would be starting off as snow or sleet but the cold air pulls out so fast that that warm air completely overwhelms the Northeast. Rain will be moving out early Sunday morning and we should see improvement with clouds and some breaks of sun developing. Temperatures Saturday will be in the 40s. Sunday’s temperatures will be in the 50s. A second low in the Southern Plains heads to the Ohio Valley. This means more rain Monday into Monday night.
The two rounds of rain over the next 4 days could produce a total of a couple of inches in some places. Once that second low goes by cold air returns for the middle of next week, though it won’t be as extreme as what we have just seen. Weather models maintain a blocky look to the pattern overall in the long range and we will evaluate the risks going forward later today.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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