Nate Strengthening Racing Toward Central Gulf Coast

Nate Strengthening Racing Toward Central Gulf Coast

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Nate Strengthening Racing Toward Central Gulf Coast

Hurricane Warnings Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Watch

Western Florida Panhandle

 

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Afternoon satellite loops show Nate continuing to organize. Notice on the loop that the core circulation is open on the northeast side but convection is beginning to wrap around the center. Nate’s presentation looks much better than it did yesterday at this time when the center was moving over land in Nicaragua & Honduras. The center will pass very close to the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening and then move northward toward the Central Gulf coast. Conditions remain favorable for strengthening right up until landfall so Nate should at least make minimal hurricane status before coming ashore just east of New Orleans and possibly very close to Biloxi Mississippi to as far east as Mobile Alabama.

nate

…NATE STRENGTHENS AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN TIP
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL…
…HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS…

 

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.3N 85.7W
ABOUT 80 MI…125 KM E OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 645 MI…1035 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.33 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for metropolitan New Orleans
and Lake Pontchartrain.

A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect east of the
Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
* Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Pinar del Rio
* Lake Maurepas
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Lake Maurepas
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of the the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Isle of Youth

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nate was
located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 85.7 West. Nate is
moving toward the north-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through Saturday, with a turn toward
the north and northeast expected Saturday night and Sunday. On the
forecast track, the center of Nate will move near or over the
northeastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula this evening. Nate will
then move into the southern Gulf of Mexico tonight, approach the
northern Gulf coast Saturday, and then move make landfall over the
northern Gulf coast Saturday night or Sunday.

Reports from NOAA buoy 42056, located just north and east of the
center, indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to
near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening
is forecast during the next 36 hours, and Nate is expected to become
a hurricane by the time it reaches the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
mainly to the east of the center. NOAA buoy 42056 recently
reported a 1-minute average wind of 56 mph (91 km/h) and a wind
gust of 69 mph (111 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
NOAA buoy 42056 reported a minimum pressure of 995.6 mb as the
center of Nate passed nearby.

 

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

 

 

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