Ida Continues To Strengthen Rapidly Southeast Louisiana Landfall Sunday

Ida Continues To Strengthen Rapidly Southeast Louisiana Landfall Sunday

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Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast

Ida Continues To Strengthen Rapidly Southeast Louisiana Landfall Sunday


…IDA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY BEFORE LANDFALL…
…LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WIND
DAMAGE, AND FLOODING RAINFALL EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST BEGINNING SUNDAY MORNING…

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…27.2N 88.0W
ABOUT 145 MI…235 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 235 MI…375 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…964 MB…28.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* East of Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge Louisiana to the
Alabama/Florida border
* Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas,
and Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cameron Louisiana to west of Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama/Florida border

Satellite loops and recon reports confirm that Hurricane Ida continues to rapidly strengthen. The pressure has fallen 20 millibars today and conditions remain favorable for rapid strengthening to continue overnight into Sunday morning. The eye is visible on the enhanced satellite loop and it has shrunk to almost pin prick size. The hurricane is also beginning to take that “buzz saw” signature on the satellite where it looks like a buzz saw blade. Ida will be a strong category 3 or a category 4 before making landfall

SATELLITE

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Some bands of squalls are already rolling into the coast well ahead of the core which is still over 200 miles offshore. The regional radar is beginning to pick up the echoes from the core of the hurricane and the coverage will continue to increase overnight as the hurricane gets closer to land.

WEATHER RADAR

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There have been occasional wobbles to the east today on what has been a predominately northwest track. Ida continues to move along the western edge of an upper high in the Southeast US and that ridge will help it hold that course until landfall. Afterwards the ridge weakens and Ida will turn north and northeast spreading heavy rains through the Tennessee Valley and into the Northern Mid Atlantic and Northeast on Wednesday.

Heavy rains of 10 inches or more are likely just east of the track of the center. If the storm moves along at 15 or so miles an hour the low end of these forecast ranges will be met. If it slows down some, then we could see rainfall amounts finish closer to the higher end of the forecast ranges.

The map above shows the likely time of the arrival of gale force winds. The forecast track on the 11pm Saturday night advisory has been nudged to the right of the previous forecast with the center now passing east of Houma Louisiana and a little closer to New Orleans though the center passes to the west of the city. The worst of this will be later Sunday afternoon and Sunday night as Ida tracks inland. The Storm Prediction Center has at least a 5% risk of tornadoes to the east of the storm center track.

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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

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