Hurricane Teddy Will Pass East of Bermuda Then On to Nova Scotia Tuesday
Hurricane Teddy is taking a similar path that Hurricane Paulette did about a week ago but Teddy is going to take a track a little bit further to the east. Bermuda will not have to worry about a direct hit but it will be on the west side of Teddy. At its closest, Teddy will be about 150 or so miles to the east of Bermuda which keeps the storms core away from the island. Tropical Storm form winds are possible and therereo a tropical storm warning is in effect for the island.
5PM LOCATION…26.7N 60.2W
ABOUT 475 MI…765 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…120 MPH…195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…958 MB…28.29 INCHES
SATELLITE
Bermuda will feel the western side of Teddy late Sunday night and Monday then it is on northward. Normally a storm at this point would turn northeastward into the strong westerly winds in the upper atmosphere. However this time it is different. A trough moving through the Northeast Sunday will race eastward while the bottom part of that trough drops southward just off shore. An upper air low forms in this trough.
The upper low grabs Teddy and slingshots it north northwestward and the center passes over Nova Scotia Tuesday night into Wednesday. At this point Teddy will likely become a non tropical major storm as it approaches Nova Scotia and Newfoundland but it will still be a formidable storm as it goes by.
Above is the wind field and the probability of gales for Teddy. Bermuda lies on the western flank of the gales while Nova Scotia and Newfoundland get into the heart of strong winds. The GFS shows the 10 meter sustained winds.
The storm will behave like a non tropical storm by the time it reaches Nova Scotia meaning that the heaviest rains will be to the west of the low center and the strongest winds will be to the east. The gales will spread out covering a larger distance and the strongest sustained winds will be reduced. There will however be winds that will gust past hurricane force from Teddy. It keeps moving so it will be a stormy 8 to 12 hours and then weather conditions improve. Weather conditions will deteriorate on Tuesday and then improve on Wednesday from south to north.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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