Cold Temperatures Dry Through Friday
It was very cold today for sure with strong winds and temperatures in the 20s. Wind chills were in the teens and single digits all day. Now tonight with partly to mostly clear skies lows will be in the teens and wind chills will continue to make it feel like it is in the single digits. Satellite loop shows clouds and snow showers coming off the Great Lakes as the lake effect machine is working overtime in parts of upstate New York. That will gradually relax during the day Tuesday and Tuesday evening.
Tuesday we will see plenty of sunshine and just some passing clouds on Tuesday with highs in the 20s to around 30 in most places. On Wednesday we will see sunshine and some arriving clouds but the next disturbance is going to weaken as it approaches us so no snow is forecast for Wednesday though highs will be in the 30s.
COLD TEMPERATURES DRY THROUGH FRIDAY
Now for Thursday and Friday high pressure builds back in from the north as cold air sets up across the Great Lakes and Northeast as we finish off the week. Thursday’s highs will be in the lower 30s and Friday’s highs will only be in the 20s to near 30. Both days will be dry with some sunshine Thursday followed by increasing clouds on Friday. This of course sets up for the weekend as models all show a storm along the Middle Atlantic coast.
The late afternoon GFS model continues what has been a remarkable run of models that began 5 days ago. Each run has been pretty much the same with just some slight variations here and there. Those are all short range forecast problems. What is important is that all models show an impressive storm for the weekend for the northeast and Middle Atlantic states and the models have not varied from this view on bit.
COLD TEMPERATURES DRY THROUGH FRIDAY
GFS MODEL FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
The GFS is close to the position on the previous run. Perhaps it is a little further southwest on the Low but at this point it is so close that it’s not worth arguing. I went back and looked at the last 5 runs and it is remarkable how close the models have been from run to run. The basic premise is unchanged. We will resolve short term issues like mixing or rain for some places as well as some early snowfall guess along about Wednesday. For now it is still full steam ahead.
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