Coastal Storm Wind Rain Coastal Flooding Wednesday Through Friday
THIS IS NOT ANOTHER SANDY..PLEASE STOP THE WEATHER HYSTERICS
We are setting the table today for wind rain and coastal flooding potential at high tide beginning later tonight and lasting right through Friday night. We are in a low tide cycle right now with tides gradually increasing into the weekend with the full moon on Sunday October 13th. Coastal flooding at high tide will be minor to moderate through the rest of the week. Winds along the coast will be reaching gale force with some gusts of 50 mph or more possible along the immediate coasts of Long Island and for a short time the New Jersey shore. On and off rain will be coming in from the east beginning tonight. Rainfall will be greater from NYC eastward and along the immediate coast of New Jersey but it will be much less inland with most rainfall amounts under 1/2 inch.
Last night’s cold front has moved on through and is stalling and weakening to the south and east. Meanwhile we have a stick of light rain from Southeast Pennsylvania to Southern New England this morning which will be gradually drying out this morning. To the southeast of New Jersey and east of the Virginia North Carolina coast we are seeing the beginnings of a large area of rain associated with a developing low off the Southeast coast of the US. Local radars are picking up on some of this and we will be looking for this area to the south to begin moving north and northwestward late today and tonight.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
Beginning tonight we will start to see rain sweep in from the east. This will impact Long Island, Southern New England and coastal New Jersey with rain. The western edge of the rain might make it briefly to the New Jersey Pennsylvania border Wednesday morning. The low is going to be far enough offshore where the impact inland will be minimal. The map below shows what to expect regarding impact.
As far as the strongest winds are concerned this will likely occur during Thursday into Thursday night when the low will be at its closest to the coast. The strongest winds will likely be across Central and Eastern Long Island and Southeastern New England from this storm. Here is a snapshot look of forecast wind gusts Thursday morning.
After Friday we will start to see improvement over the weekend as low pressure starts to move away to the east northeast. Winds will actually start going around to the north Friday night into Saturday and this should lessen coastal flooding issues as we head into the weekend. The forecast there fore beginning tonight and lasting through Friday night is cloudy skies with on and off rain or drizzle. Gusty winds to gale force developing along the immediate coast. Temperatures will be in the raw 50s. Tides will be increasing beginning Wednesday and will peak on Friday with minor to possibly moderate coastal flooding. With the easterly fetch this would bring greater tidal issues to Long Island Sound verses the Long Island south shore. It also will at least contain the impact along the New Jersey shore.
We also should start to see improving weather conditions over the weekend with clouds and some breaks of sun possible Saturday and a better chance for some sunshine on Sunday with highs over the weekend in the 60s.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.