Brush Fire Risk Wednesday
Brush Fire Risk Wednesday
Winds Key For Coastal Areas
There is a Brush Fire Risk Wednesday across the area from Eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey east to much of Eastern New York and Southern New England. This includes the New York City area and Long Island. There are some different issues for Wednesday. First off on the minus side is the fact that we will have another bone dry day with very low humidity, sunshine, and temperatures in the 60s. On the plus side is that the wind which was northwesterly today at 20 to 30 mph will be lower. The one wild card will be coastal areas especially Central & Eastern Long Island. The sea breeze is likely to develop in the afternoon and in the spring, a strong south wind can kick up to 30 mph or more at times. We will have to watch that situation closely from mid afternoon on. No help will come from the sky as radars will be dead quiet right through Thursday. The system now in the midwest won’t get here until Friday. And there is a big question mark surrounding just how much of that shower activity now in the midwest actually survives the trip. Upper air support is lacking as is the moisture inflow from the Atlantic ocean and the Gulf of Mexico.
I think net net, the risk of Wednesday for brush fires is lower but do exercise caution with any open flame outdoors. Thursday the wind is going to turn more west southwest. If humidity levels come up a bit it could alleviate some (but not all) of the super dry conditions.
RAINFALL FORECAST FRIDAY
Once the showers are done Friday it looks cooler and dry for the weekend. The hope is that next week with a blocking pattern setting up we could see a couple of shots for rain. JOESTRADAMUS has more on that in his latest post.
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