noreaster

Brief Noreaster Conditions Friday Night Saturday Morning Coast

Brief Noreaster Conditions Friday Night Saturday Morning Coast

 

Brief Noreaster Conditions Friday Night Saturday Morning Coast

Noreasters in July are a pretty rare thing and for a short time Friday night into Saturday morning we will probably see some gusty northeast winds along the coast as low pressure develops along the Delaware coast. It is almost like a winter time situation where we keep watching models for north south shifts from run to run. The European model was especially bullish for rain and a bit of wind. The rain begins Friday afternoon and ends Saturday morning with improving weather conditions Saturday afternoon.

BRIEF NOREASTER FRIDAY NIGHT SATURDAY MORNING

EUROPEAN MODEL 8AM SATURDAY

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Other weather models have been going back and forth north vs south. I think as I have been saying for awhile that this will be a 1 to 2 inch rain producer for most. The northern extent of the rain will only get so far north into the Hudson Valley and Connecticut. Late Friday night early Saturday morning along the coast NE winds will be 20 to occasionally 30 knots with some higher gusts.

BRIEF NOREASTER CONDITIONS SATURDAY MORNING GFS MODEL

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The GFS is a little flatter (weaker) and a bit faster than the European which would argue for improving weather conditions during Saturday while the European would probably suggest lots of clouds will linger into Saturday evening before weather conditions improve. The main difference in the two models is the strength of the upper air feature with the European so much deeper (stronger) than the GFS model. This issue will need to be resolved in order to be more specific with the final outcome. Either way Sunday looks good with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to some lower 80s.

EUROPEAN UPPER AIR JET STREAM 8AM SATURDAY

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SATELLITE LOOP

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REGIONAL RADAR

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Meanwhile it is a nice afternoon with sunshine and some clouds with most temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Skies should be nice and clear tonight with lows in the 60s and 50s in cool spots. Thursday looks like sun mixing with arriving clouds. The Storm Prediction Center has a large part of our area at a slight risk of severe weather Thursday evening. Judging by the dynamics it seems a bit overstated to me at the moment….AT 5:30PM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER REDUCED THE RISK.

We will review the severe weather threat in greater detail later this evening.

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