BLIZZARD WARNINGS NORTHEAST NJ NYC HUDSON VALLEY CONNECTICUT WESTERN LONG ISLAND
WINTER STORM WARNING EASTERN LONG ISLAND SE CONNECTICUT AND FROM VIRGINIA TO PENNSYLVANIA TO THE REST OF NY STATE TO NEW ENGLAND
Overnight weather models nudged slightly closer to the coast with the storm track to where it is sitting off the New Jersey coast Tuesday afternoon and headed east from there. Not all models are there and there is some variation in this. This would mean a change to sleet and rain for awhile over Eastern Long Island reducing snow amounts there but it should be all snow to the west across NYC New Jersey Hudson Valley and Connecticut. 12 to 18 inches seems a good bet. I know the weather service has 18 to 24 inches possible in some places. I suppose this is possible if we get into to heavy duty heavy snow. The bottom line is that this is a major winter storm with a foot to a foot and a half possible..some rain comes into play on Long Island and perhaps Coastal Ocean County in New Jersey southward for a little while.
Snow develops tonight from south to north around Philadelphia late this evening and around NYC by 4am and over Boston by 8am. It snows hard into early afternoon on the order 2 inches or more per hour..along the immediate coast a change to rain by midday..it could change back to snow once the low pulls out to the east. It all comes to an end from south to north later Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. Temperatures where it is all snow will be in the 20s..where it changes we could see temperatures rise to near 40 briefly.
GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE
There are no weather issues today other than it is another very cold day with temperatures this morning in the teens. Sunshine will give way to arriving clouds with highs reaching into the 30s later this afternoon. Radars will begin to become active to the south and you can see on the US National radar the impressive area of snow in the Midwest that is moving southeastward. This is the energy that will feed the developing storm along the Southeast US coast.
In the Blizzard Warning area look for winds of at least 35 mph and there could be gusts to 60 mph on Long Island as the low passes east on Tuesday. Coastal flooding is likely and Coastal Flood Watches are also in effect for Long Island New Jersey and Connecticut
The maps below are the National Weather Service forecast snow maps with the most likely snowfall prediction.