Another Day of Gloom Doom Showery Heavy Rains Halloween Strong Winds Friday Morning
Overnight we didn’t get much reprieve from the low clouds that came in from the east. We have lots of clouds around with some patchy light rain or drizzle on the agenda again for today. Winds will be bending more southeast and eventually to the south by tonight. That actually should allow temperatures to head into the low and mid 60s. There could also be the occasional sliver of brightening or even a break or two of sun here and there in between patches of low clouds, light rain, drizzle, and fog.
The patchy light rain or drizzle remains in the bottom 2000 feet of the atmosphere and the local radars are picking up some but not all of that patchy light rain which is coming in from the southeast. On the regional radar rain from Thursday’s storm system is showing up on the lower left as Gulf of Mexico moisture moves to the northeast.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Starting tonight showery rains will be moving northeast and a steady heavier rain will develop and move from southwest to northeast. This area of rain will be the first of several rounds of rain that will continue into Thursday night when the heaviest rain arrives with the cold front. Temperatures Thursday will be warm with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s.
The heaviest round of rain comes Thursday night as a strong cold front swings eastward. This sets up a risk for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has much of the risk inland and west of the New Jersey Pennsylvania state line however we think there is still some room for this area to get expanded yet again so we will check with SPC again later today when they update their forecasts. Rain amounts will remain in the 1 to 2 inch range though thunderstorms could produce some local upside.
The next issue will be winds which will pick up from the southwest during the day on Thursday and then get very strong when the front passes through during the early morning hours on Friday. Gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible during a brief time when the front passes which will be sometime between 3 and 5 am.
Weather conditions will improve on Friday with developing sunshine from west to east. It will be on the windy side at least for awhile with temperatures in the 60s leftover early in the morning settling into the 50s later in the day.
The weekend to me looks good with only minor issues with clouds. There will be a wave developing on the Friday cold front off the Carolinas Saturday but that runs to the northeast and stays offshore. Look for some sunshine for both days, Saturday and Sunday but it will be on the chilly side of average. Highs will be in the low to mid 50s both weekend days. Nighttime lows will be in the 30s to some lower 40s. The chilly air continues into Monday before we set up for the next cold front for late Tuesday. The pattern will be relaxing somewhat over the next 10 days once our Halloween storm moves away.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.