Winter 2016-2017 Pennsylvania Colder, Snowier
Winter 2016-2017 Pennsylvania Colder, Snowier
Winter 2016-2017 Pennsylvania Snowfall Forecast
Last winter was a non winter for much of the northern half of Pennsylvania. The Blizzard of 2016 pretty much was all the snowfall that occurred for South Central and Southeastern Pennsylvania. I think we are going to see things go back to normal in terms of Winter 2016-2017 with colder than average temperatures on the order of 2 to 3 degrees or so. We will also see a more normal distribution of snowfall where the northern areas get more than the south which is usually how it works. Im leaning toward slightly above average for most areas. One of the things that makes forecasting snowfall more difficult is that at least for Southeastern Pennsylvania, you have to have the combination of cold air and precipitation lining up together. Northern areas have an easier time getting those combinations to occur. Also in terms of total precipitation is the drought pattern that may have a bigger impact in southern areas of the state than in the north. If the large scale dry pattern were to reverse than I think we could reach the high end of these numbers. However I want to see signs of that pattern easing and right now we don’t see any.
The pattern across much of the United States is about about as storm free as you will ever see it. The entire nation from coast to coast is under an upper high with deep troughs off each coast. As long as this condition exists storms will be kept away from both coastlines. Cold air is sealed up in Siberia and Europe. This type of setup is one that doesn’t support anything major. Even the minor systems will be even more minor than usual. For more on the short range pattern here is the latest video analysis
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER
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