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Weekend Weather Forecast Becomes More Dubious
We are headed into a weekend and we are beginning to wonder how this is all going to play out. Low pressure is coming out of the Southern Plains. We have two jet streams in play with a northern and southern jet remaining separate. It seems that the northern jet stream is becoming more important here which is going to suppress the rain southward to some degree. For example we envision that after some rain tonight into early Saturday morning, the rain will end from north to south across the Hudson Valley Connecticut, Northern New Jersey & Long Island while the rain continues south of Route 195 (roughly) in New Jersey on Saturday.
The second issue that devlops is for Sunday. Cold air draining southward could bring temperatures down close to or even below freezing over parts of Northwest New Jersey to the Hudson Valley and Connecticut (mainly north of Route 15). At this point a second low is going to develop along the coast and head slowly northeastward. Rain will start to move back northward and depending on ground temperatures, we could see some icing issues Sunday in areas from Northwest New Jersey east across the Hudson Valley To Connecticut. Areas to the south see a cold rain with temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s (ugh). Conceivably these inland areas could even see a change to snow late Sunday or Sunday night as the low intensifies offshore and them moves away to the northeast. This creates quite the puzzle for the weekend especially for inland areas.
Meanwhile today we will be watching clouds that are overhead with some thin spots and breaks in some areas. To the south high clouds are racing northeastward so we should cloud up as the day wears on. Temperatures today will be mostly in the 40s.
Rain spreads northward across New Jersey to NYC & Long Island tonight but that may be where the northern edge of the rain gets. Areas in New Jersey north of Route 80 to the Hudson Valley north of route 87 to Connecticut may never see the first round of rain at all. Temperatures overnight hold in the 40s. Saturday rain stays south of 195..cloudy skies to the north and northeast with temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Colder air begins to come in Saturday night. Rain begins to move northward and heads into the Hudson Valley. Sunday it is a cold rain with a raw northeast wind. Inland we will see a change to freezing rain and maybe some snow as the day wears on. We will be on top of the weather model developments today.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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