weekend weather

Weekend Weather Outlook Promising

Weekend Weather Outlook Promising

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Weekend Weather Outlook Promising

As we draw toward the weekend we see some signs that weather conditions could turn out to be okay for most of the area for a good part of the time. Saturday is not an issue at all. We should see plenty of sunshine on Saturday with nothing more than a few passing clouds with temperatures in the 70s. That is the easy part of the forecast. Sunday has been in question all week due to low pressure approaching us from the Great Lakes. A few subtle changes in track of that low makes all the difference in the Sunday outcome. As we have gotten closer and closer to the weekend the low is tracking further north. This changes the profile for much of the area from one waiting for an onshore flow to develop and a warm from setting up, to a cold front coming in from the northwest.

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM TUESDAY’S GFS MODEL

weekend weather

Above was the GFS from 2 days ago setting us up for another wet onshore flow on Sunday with rain and a raw northeast wind. The New GFS model (along with the NAM and European models) have all adjusted to the weather system being further north with no onshore flow.

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM TODAY’S GFS MODEL RUN

weekend weather

What a huge difference on today’s model run. Yes there may be clouds but it looks like there will be no showers of consequence until at the earliest late Sunday afternoon and evening across the Hudson Valley and sometime Sunday night everywhere else. If this verifies Sunday may not be too bad for much of the day.

GFS MODEL EARLY NEXT WEEK CLICK TO ANIMATE

weekend weather

The onshore flow issue may wind up setting up early next week as low pressure looks to form just offshore to our south but here too there are some model differences. A lot will depend on whether the upper air feature with this winds up dropping as far south as indicated. Either way given the strength of the jet stream in the east and its placement south of normal suggests that no hot weather is in the forecast anytime soon.

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