Weather Models Trending South Backing Off Heavy Rains For Some
Weather Models Trending South
Backing Off Heavy Rains For Some Areas
The model trend since earlier today has been further south with less rain and that trend continues overnight. For areas across Northern New Jersey to NYC & Long Island amounts have been cut in half to under an inch and just inland of the coast the sharp cut off line has moved further south. Areas just north and northeast of NYC might see very little rain from this if the southern trend continues. In addition the big rains indicated in areas to the south across Central & Southern New Jersey have been reduced to under 2 inches and in some cases even less. The upper air system responsible for this being forecast weaker and further south with every model run. If this trend continues during the day Friday it is likely that the FLASH FLOOD WATCH area as it stands now will likely be reduced. The further southern track also suggests that weather conditions could improve somewhat on Sunday for much of the area. We will have more on this later this morning.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
For much of the area very little should happen rain wise into the first part of Friday night before one shot of rain lifts up and around as low pressure moves off the Delaware coast and heads northeastward.
WEATHER MODELS GFS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING
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The profile of this event is going back to where it was a few days ago with a weaker system producing some rain but for the most part manageable. This is as difficult as trying to figure out a winter storm ni January. If all moves along improvement will occur for next week as temperatures warm up and humidity begins to rise as the new week progresses.
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