Weather Models Show Warm Quiet Week Ahead
Here we are at the beginning of November and I thought I would put up the normals and records for the next 10 days or so. We are going to be running significantly above normal for the middle of this week. Before the climate change people jump up and down take a look at the record highs for the dates in the first few days of November note that the record highs for Nov 1 & 2 are in the lower 80s and for the period of the 3rd through the ninth the record highs are all in the mid to upper 70s. Except for 2003 all those records were set prior to 1976 and those low 80s were set in 1950. This was before climate change became chic. End of lecture.
Now with regards to where we are going over the next few days it is a pretty uneventful weather pattern that is setting up. Weather models show a weak disturbance goes out to our south with no consequences here. High pressure is in control though I would point out that the position of the high is not exactly conducive to record temperatures. Yes we should see highs in the low to mid 60s Monday and into the 70s Tuesday and Wednesday but I’m thinking we will be on the lower end of the 70s and not near record highs. The 74 on the 6th is a possibility ahead of the next cold front.
Since the daily arguments will be along the line of how much cloud cover and wind direction which will dictate temperature I’m going to jump to Friday where we have the next cold front approaching. That front is going to slow down when it gets to the coast with a wave developing on it so that could prolong the rain into Saturday.
Both the gfs and the European complicate matters with low pressure that winds up bringing rain here for early next week. The European has a wave coming up the west side of the Appalachians while the GFS is much further east. Given the strength of the ridge in the east the European makes a little more sense with all this.