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Weather Models Colder Long Range

Weather Models Colder Long Range

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Weather Models Colder Long Range

We are I believe beginning to see the pattern gradually change. Now where it finally ends up is something that we aren’t sure of at this point. However there are things that are happening in where all the troughs and ridges are setting up and right now the best approach is to follow this along.

Weather Models Colder GFS Wednesday November 9th

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We are actually seeing the beginnings of this right now as cool air is bleeding down from Eastern Canada. The shot we are getting today through Monday is bringing temperatures to seasonal levels. However today’s GFS which is consistent with the European weather model runs of the last several days are pointing to several shots coming down with each one getting progressively stronger and colder than the prior one. The map shown above brings one down now Wednesday of this week with colder air coming in and that is going to be followed by an even stronger shot for Friday and next weekend.

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Were this trough further left by about 5 degrees to the west, there would probably be a storm threat to deal with however the position of how the jet stream lines up is to close to us based on this run. For winter weather lovers it is a sign that things are changing. At the very least it is different from last November when the el nino was overpowering everything in the atmosphere and we were on our way to record warm month. What is also interesting on this run is that the models going longer range want to keep a trough in the east and a ridge in the west for the first time in a long long time.

Now the next step is to see whether the European model continues its prior trends. Also the next thing to look ahead to is whether this change will also mean a change to a wetter pattern going forward. This part of the equation may be a harder nut to crack.

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